Friends, recently, the dollar rate has stabilized noticeably lower from recent maxima.
It so happened that some of you bought a dollar even above the famous exchange maximum. And someone now regrets that he did not sell dollars at the rate of about 120 rubles.
I will say right away if you buy dollars to play, it is completely in vain. Buy foreign currencies needed with a clear and understandable goal, not for playing and speculation.
What to do with dollars?
The currency needs to be bought in a quiet time, I did it that way (I bought 73 rubles in the area).
Buy dollars on a panic - this is a bad idea. To some extent guess those who bought at the beginning of Panic (just guess).
Those who buys on the development of panic have a much less chance to guess. Similarly, there is no point in this guessing and, especially, it makes no sense to listen to Armagedonchikov, and those who know exactly what will happen to the dollar.
What risks?
Risks are fully, the geopolitical situation can and improve and worsen. The potential for sanctions is clearly selected not all, it may well be worse.
Nevertheless, it is obvious that with the help of various restrictions of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation managed to stabilize the dollar rate below 120 rubles. And on external signs it is clear that the dollar rate is now to mark 100 rubles.
At the same time, the foreign trade balance is clearly not yet found out, it will take it clearly for it more than six months.
At what level will the dollar rate for fundamental factors after 1-2 months?
Not yet known. The dollar and the euro there are also other risks associated with the departure of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation from market cursions.
In this case, the course can be in general any, that is, the one that will appoint financial power.
In general, risks and uncertainties for currencies is enough. Therefore, you do not need to fuss.
If the Central Bank of the Russian Federation leaves the foreign exchange market in the future in the future (precisely market factors) and restrictions will be removed, the dollar rate will most likely go to a smooth increase.
So, if you bought dollars in a long time and for investment in foreign securities, that is, it makes sense to quietly use dollars according to the goal.
Trying now to score a bunch of dollars with confidence that the dollar will cost in the near future more than 150-200 rubles, I would not.
Of course, this may be, but may not happen for quite a long time, and so long that you need to sell bought dollars purchased now.
A certain amount of currency does not prevent in the general balance of your cache, but dial dollars at any rate, fraught with losses.
In order not to twitch at such extreme moments, it is necessary to determine the parameters of your investment portfolio in advance, but if it is not, then at least you need to have a clear balance of currencies and deposit deposits within your savings - this is done in advance without fuss and nerves.
And at the time of the realization of the risks, that is, when the yard is panic, it is better not to twitch at all. It is a sorry for the fact that it is worked out by difficulty, be prudent, disperse with the goals of your purchases of dollars. And on the basis of this, take a further solution.
Now, so as not to lose your savings, you need to reduce the risks, and not try to guess the best way. It is a reasonable suspended approach - a pledge of minimum losses in such times.
And not only minimal losses, balanced purchases of investment assets, are also able to lead to capital growth over time.
Today, thanks for your attention!
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