Hello, dear investors, today we will talk about the prospects of the Russian market for December and discuss the most interesting ideas.

November for the Russian market turned out to be positive - the market grew by about 11%. But the last half a month the market is in the sidewall.

What will happen to the market in December?

At the moment, oil is one of the key threats to the Russian stock market, as we have the oil and gas sector prevails.

In principle, the banking sector also depends on it, but there is also a bet on the Russian economy.

Regarding gold, it is in neutral. The main potential of growth has already worked out gold, although gold miners can still grow a little (in particular, the pole).

I expect that the next month the market will most likely go to a decrease. It is unlikely that we will break through the level of 2200-2230 points, taking into account the current conjuncture in the oil market, new sanctions, the recognition of Russia by the country by the sponsor of terrorism by the EU countries.

Therefore, most likely, a correction in the range of 2000 points will be approximately by about 10%. I do not exclude correction options at 2070-2100 points.

Also, there are active fears about the new wave of mobilization. If rumors on this subject are intensified, then 4-5%correction is quite possible.

Of course, a catastrophic collapse (at 1,500 points) should not be expected, but shortening the market is now not the worst undertaking.

📌Sberbank

Probably, Rostov’s impulse is already completed here. Sberba grew against the background of positive reporting, as well as on Gref’s statement that the bank plans to return to the payment of dividends next year.

Obviously, current profit will not allow Sberbank to pay good dividends. Most likely, they will be at 5-7 rubles.

Sberbank shares are cooling after violent growth, and it is possible that in December the paper will go to a price of 120-115 rubles

That is, Sberbank is not interesting for purchase now. Perhaps in December there will be some interesting entry points.

📌tinkoff

A similar situation in Tinkoff. The extreme report turned out to be weak:

Tinkoff shares became highly risk after the change of leadership - the risks of sanctions on Tinkoff increased.

Also, the investment direction of Tinkoff is inhibited due to the fact that non -Vyvam was forbidden to invest in American actions.

Therefore, at the moment I would not invest in Tinkoff.

📌 Yandex

I already wrote about the separation of Yandex. Yandex will head the new Russian company Kudrin.

Of course, the situation for Yandex is not the best. Since the mother company Yandex N.V., which will engage in projects in the world market (artificial intelligence, drones, etc.), will not be able to function normally without Russian business Yandex.

That is, Yandex is a company that did not suggest separation. Yandex investment attractiveness for me fell to the bottom.

Therefore, the next target for Yandex 1900 rub (-10%). If you look at the long -term, then the potential of the fall is up to 1,500 rubles.

📌metallurgists

The situation has not changed for the metallurgical sector. The dollar rate is held for 60 rubles - this rate is not beneficial for metallurgists. Metal prices are now record low.

Therefore, there is nothing special to catch in short -term here. Yes, the metallurgists of the industry after the October panic, but now they are outside the purchase zone.

That is, if Severstal, for example, cost 600 rubles, one could consider it for the long -term.

For today, thanks for your attention!

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